of virginia. and susan paige is the waugs bureau chief for "usa today." it's not fabulous just because of you, larry, but it is one hell of a school. here are larry's numbers. they were out the other day. i want to start with your thoughts and predictions. currently 47 house seats go republican, enough of a shift to get power to the republicans. eight or nine pickups of the senate seat the ten they need to make it. a net gain of eight governors going to the republican side. a very big win for the republican party. not a complete shutout yet, apparently. and a new "usa today" galup poll says voters prefer a republican candidate across the country by 49% to 43%, which should be enough of a percentage, six-point difference to give them control as well. let me start with larry sabato. just to let you capsulize your current prediction, what is it? >> it is exactly what you suggested. republicans taking over the house, not by an enormous margin but by a decent margin. having a chance to take over the senate but it's not there yet and may never be. their biggest advantage and probably greatest break

"hardball." larry is a professor at the center for politics at the fabulous university of virginia. and susan paige is the washington bureau chief of usa today. it is one hell of a school. here are larry's numbers. they were out the other day. i want to start with your thoughts and predictions. 47 house seats go republican currently. enough to shift power to the republicans. eight our nine pickups of the senate seat. a net gain of eight governors going to the republican side. a very big win for the republican party. not a complete shutout yet, apparently. and a new usa today gallup poll says voters prefer a republican candidate across the country by 49% to 43%, which should be enough of a percentage, six-point difference to give them control as well. let me start with salbato. what is your current prediction? >> it is exactly what you suggested. republicans taking over the house, not be by an enormous margin, but a decent margin. having the chance to take over the senate. their biggest advantage and greatest breakthrough will be at the state level, br they'll not only pick up at le

like the university of virginia larry sabato think they could do. right now the biggest danger the president's party faces is bad morale. people who voted for him are disappointed with the bad economy. they felt closer to him two years ago than they do now. he's got two months to do something about it to salvage a rough result. to save the senate seats of progressives barbara boxer, patty murray and russ feingold. to give joe sestak and jack conway and alexei giannoulas a better chance and maybe help bringing in harry reid, as well. every one of these candidates could lose bringing about a total democratic calamity. every one of these candidates has a solid chance of winning. the key is for the president to campaign to be the person he was from 2004 through 2008. the inspiring hard-working focused democratic hero that he was. he needs to sell his connection as he did through all that time with the prospect of change. he's been working on change creating jobs, doing health care, cleaning up wall street, working for a peaceful role abroad. he's got to sell the fact that he barack

late. here's what the university of virginia's larry sabato wrote today. given what we see at this moment, republicans have a good chance to win the house by picking up as many as 47 seats. jonathan martin and the washington post's chris cillizza. let's take a look at something that might be the beginning of the opening shot of a strong democratic counterattack led by a very strong certainly a veteran smart politician who always seems to win even in tough races. here's barbara boxer who knows how to fight in a debate last night ripping the scab off carly fiorina and her jobs record. if you look at senator boxer's long track record of 28 years in washington, d.c., you will see this. she is for moral taxes. she is for more spending. she is for more regulation. and she is also for big government and elite extreme environmental groups. >> people are going to decide if they want to have me back or if they want to elect someone who made her name as a ceo in hewlett-packard laying thousands and thousands of workers off, shipping their jobs overseas, making no sacrifice while she w

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